Razlike u kohortnom fertilitetu prema migracijskom obilježju: slučaj Grada Zagreba

The impact of migration on fertility is becoming an increasingly common research theme within the framework population studies. Numerous demographic and geographical studies have found lower in urban than rural areas, both developing developed countries. Structural contextual factors most often explain this difference. refer to people dissimilar socio-economic characteristics living different while cover current conditions broadest sense. However, when explaining urban–rural differences, selectivity should also be considered, as who (currently) no plans prefer move large cities. Most that measured levels by migrant relied period rates, only a few investigated cohort fertility. This study explores females status City Zagreb, largest centre Croatia. Therefore, aim better understand relationship between completed context. Within country, areas with lowest are capital cities highly educated mobile populations. Although international mi¬grants attracts more attention internal migration, studying association types especially important city relatively high rates inward migration. How much known about repro¬ductive behaviour migrants Zagreb? Are there significant differences their patterns native women? paper fills gap Croatian literature comparing across cohorts. analysis based 2011 Census data for Zagreb. Central Bureau Statistics created multidimensional table from census, which includes following variables female Zagreb aged 15 or over: year birth, number liveborn children, highest education place birth. For analytical purposes, were aggre¬gated into eight five-year cohorts, oldest born 1930–1934 youngest 1965–1969. Fertility children per woman, corresponds rate (CFR). calculations standard procedures used census reproductive histories surveys. Women classified four categories type: (native population), another municipality Republic Croatia (internal migrants), Bosnia Herzegovina (external – B&H), abroad other others). live births retrospective question asking woman has ever had, including longer alive at time census. restricted women 1930 (aged 80–81 census) 1969 41–42 census), younger may (more) over 80 biased due mortality non-reporting de¬ceased children. shown women’s In all was achieved (most likely) had experience. older recorded among Herzegovina. countries abroad. substantial difference cohorts those not surprising, given considerable observed equivalent comparison shows 0.25 (in co¬horts) 0.5 cohorts) whole. Zagreb-born elsewhere slowly grew (except one). A similar trend, some fluctuations, On hand, opposite intercohort notice¬able decline Nevertheless, overall trend equal in-migrants cities/municipalities share childless analysed ranged 11% 15%, except (19%). proportion one child decreased 38% 22– 23% during 1960s. low parity (parities 0 1) time. While they represented clear majority 1930s, account below 40% 1945 1964. these model two-children families prevalent, surprising post-socialist countries, having two childlessness three categories. cohort, ones, rela¬tively 1, Herze¬govina, 1 low. There major 2 slightly higher norm somewhat expected because approximately half participated reproduction after first parities (3 4+) dominate progression third (parity ratio 2→3 rose 0.45 0.6). Interestingly, rest possible explanation lies potentially disproportionately second generation immigrant whose parents abroad, but we ig¬nore numerous economic, institutional cultural primary decreased, secondary increased. educational groups increased time, slight medium education. Probably previous educated, very (about 1.1). differs population, depending origin. minor average less 0.1 convergence At same significantly Moving country apparently associated adaptation competition sphere economic life norms other. role selective fact individuals couples do plan centres ignored either.